Transparency matters. Here's how our predictions stack up against reality.
Based on 847 game predictions this season
Pre-season: Celtics (28% probability)
Status: Playoffs haven't started
Pre-season pick: Nikola Jokic (35% probability)
Current leader in most MVP ladders ✅
Our model uses: Elo ratings, home court advantage (+3.5 points), rest days, travel distance, and recent form (last 10 games weighted). NBA games are harder to predict than football due to higher variance.